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The level is, although we all know upfront that the host will open a door and reveal a goat, we do not know which door he’ll open. The host can at all times open a door revealing a goat and the likelihood that the automobile is behind the initially chosen door does not change, however it’s not due to the former that the latter is true. The assertion therefore needs to be justified; with out justification being given, the solution is at finest incomplete. The reply may be appropriate but the reasoning used to justify it’s faulty. This “equal probability” assumption is a deeply rooted instinct.
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